{"id":28772,"date":"2018-05-09T12:30:46","date_gmt":"2018-05-09T10:30:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aktuelles.uni-frankfurt.de\/?p=28772"},"modified":"2023-02-22T20:28:32","modified_gmt":"2023-02-22T19:28:32","slug":"for-how-long-will-the-usa-remain-the-nobel-prize-leader","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aktuelles.uni-frankfurt.de\/en\/english\/for-how-long-will-the-usa-remain-the-nobel-prize-leader\/","title":{"rendered":"For how long will the USA remain the Nobel Prize leader?"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignleft is-resized wp-image-28803\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/aktuelles.uni-frankfurt.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/beitrag_pm_107_Gros_nobel_Fig_3.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28803\" width=\"357\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aktuelles.uni-frankfurt.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/beitrag_pm_107_Gros_nobel_Fig_3.jpg 650w, https:\/\/aktuelles.uni-frankfurt.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/beitrag_pm_107_Gros_nobel_Fig_3-300x210.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 357px) 100vw, 357px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Chart: Claudius Gros, Goethe-Universit\u00e4t<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Since first being awarded in 1901, most Nobel Prizes for science have gone to the USA, the United Kingdom, Germany and France. An empirical study by Professor Claudius Gros from the Institute for Theoretical Physics at the Goethe University in Frankfurt has now shown that the Nobel Prize productivity in these countries is primarily determined by two factors: a long-term success rate, and periods during which each country has been able to win an especially large number of Nobel Prizes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the study, Nobel Prizes for physics, chemistry and medicine were assigned proportionately, since up to three scientists can share the prize. The success rates were calculated on the basis of population figures. For France and Germany, the periods of increased scientific creativity occurred around 1900, whereas for the USA it occurred in the second half of the 20th century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe US era is approaching its end,\u201d states Claudius Gros. \u201cSince its zenith in the 1970s, US Nobel Prize productivity has already declined by a factor of 2.4.\u201d According to his calculations, a further decline is foreseeable. \u201cOur model predicts that starting in 2025 the productivity of the USA will be below that of Germany, and from 2028, below that of France as well.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With a nearly constant, very high success rate per capita, Great Britain occupies a special position with regard to Nobel Prizes. It remains uncertain, however, whether Great Britain will be able to maintain this success, especially in view of the increasing industrialization of research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cNational research advancement can undoubtedly also be successful independent of Nobel Prize productivity,\u201c Claudius Gros stresses. \u201cEspecially because new areas of research such as the computer sciences \u2013 a typical US domain \u2013 are not included.\u201d It therefore remains open whether the decline in Nobel Prize productivity is cause for concern, or merely an expression of a new orientation toward more promising research fields.<\/p>\n\n\n<p><strong>Publication:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Claudius Gros: An empirical study of the per capita yield of science Nobel Prizes: Is the US era coming to an end?, in: Royal Society Open Science (2018) http:\/\/rsos.royalsocietypublishing.org\/content\/5\/5\/180167<\/p>\n<p>Claudius Gros: Pushing the complexity barrier: diminishing returns in the sciences, in: Complex Systems 21, 183 (2012). https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/1209.2725<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.goethe-university-frankfurt.de\/71883773\/023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em><strong>Source: Press Release 9. Mai 2018<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since first being awarded in 1901, most Nobel Prizes for science have gone to the USA, the United Kingdom, Germany and France. An empirical study by Professor Claudius Gros from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":28773,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":"[]","_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[126,254,255],"tags":[242,276],"post_folder":[],"class_list":["post-28772","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english","category-research","category-society","tag-physics","tag-prize"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>For how long will the USA remain the Nobel Prize leader? | Aktuelles aus der Goethe-Universit\u00e4t Frankfurt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aktuelles.uni-frankfurt.de\/en\/english\/for-how-long-will-the-usa-remain-the-nobel-prize-leader\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"For how long will the USA remain the Nobel Prize leader? | Aktuelles aus der Goethe-Universit\u00e4t Frankfurt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Since first being awarded in 1901, most Nobel Prizes for science have gone to the USA, the United Kingdom, Germany and France. 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